Proshares Ultrashort Basic Etf Performance

SMN Etf  USD 10.49  0.46  4.20%   
The etf holds a Beta of -1.95, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ProShares UltraShort are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, ProShares UltraShort is expected to outperform it.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort Basic has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Etf's primary indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more
1
Is SMN stock suitable for passive index funds - July 2025 Short Interest Weekly Return Optimization Alerts - Newser
12/04/2025
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ProShares UltraShort Materials Sees Large Increase in Short Interest - Defense World
01/13/2026

ProShares UltraShort Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,508  in ProShares UltraShort Basic on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (459.00) from holding ProShares UltraShort Basic or give up 30.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. ProShares UltraShort Basic is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.032% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of etfs are less volatile than ProShares, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.29 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for ProShares UltraShort Basic extending back to February 01, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of ProShares UltraShort stands at 10.49, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 10.49 and the lowest price hitting 10.49 during the day.
3 y Volatility
33.78
200 Day MA
13.9397
1 y Volatility
21.75
50 Day MA
12.8772
Inception Date
2007-01-30
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

ProShares UltraShort Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.49 90 days 10.49 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares UltraShort to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This ProShares UltraShort Basic probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort Basic has a beta of -1.95. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ProShares UltraShort Basic are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ProShares UltraShort is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally ProShares UltraShort Basic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ProShares UltraShort Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares UltraShort

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares UltraShort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4010.4312.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1110.1412.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.7210.7512.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0911.5212.96
Details

ProShares UltraShort Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares UltraShort is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares UltraShort's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares UltraShort Basic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares UltraShort within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.95
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

ProShares UltraShort Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares UltraShort for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares UltraShort can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ProShares UltraShort generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: ProShares UltraShort Materials Sees Large Increase in Short Interest - Defense World
This fund generated-28.0 ten year return of -28.0%
ProShares UltraShort maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

ProShares UltraShort Fundamentals Growth

ProShares Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ProShares UltraShort, and ProShares UltraShort fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ProShares Etf performance.

About ProShares UltraShort Performance

By examining ProShares UltraShort's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into ProShares UltraShort's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that ProShares UltraShort is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the funds investment objective. Ultrashort Basic is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
ProShares UltraShort generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: ProShares UltraShort Materials Sees Large Increase in Short Interest - Defense World
This fund generated-28.0 ten year return of -28.0%
ProShares UltraShort maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
When determining whether ProShares UltraShort offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ProShares UltraShort's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Proshares Ultrashort Basic Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Proshares Ultrashort Basic Etf:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ProShares UltraShort Basic. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
ProShares UltraShort's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on ProShares's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate ProShares UltraShort's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since ProShares UltraShort's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares UltraShort's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares UltraShort is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares UltraShort's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.